Photo by Markus Krisetya on Unsplash

Photo by Pawel Janiak on Unsplash

Do misanthropists really hate mankind? Rather, Molière’s play highlights an ambivalent character, torn between idealism and disappointment — something that psychology research will find three centuries later, through a double vicious circle in which they lock themselves.

For decades, the quality of statistical results has been measured using the p-value. But this gold standard is not as reliable as you might think. It’s time to question it.

Photo by Алекс Арцибашев on Unsplash

Nuclear accident, stock market crash … the law of large numbers and the Gaussian distribution, foundations of the statistics of average magnitudes, fail to account for such rare or extreme events. Adapted tools exist… but they are not always used!

Photo by Roy Muz on Unsplash

Sometimes small differences are given meaning they don’t have. Distinguishing small statistically relevant effects from those arising from chance is a challenge!

Photo by Ryoji Iwata on Unsplash

Errors in judgment lead us to see incredible phenomena in certain coincidences and to seek impossible explanations for them.

Photo by Michael Dziedzic on Unsplash

A “Bayesian revolution” would gradually infuse cognitive science. This theory, based on a famous theorem in statistics — Bayes’ theorem — upsets our view of the unconscious. This would be based on a hierarchical architecture of the brain making this organ a “prediction machine”.


Read,write, repeat...

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store